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Don't trust the truce! Bullion bids, Oil slumps. Mid-week macro 8th April

Are we seeing a relief rally in stocks?

Welcome to Mid-Week Macro for Wednesday 8th April 2026.

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This post and video are FREE for everyone, and discusses:

  • Why you shouldn’t trust the ceasefire

  • Short term equity and commodity outlooks

  • Warning signs across the board

  • And much more!


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Mid-week Polymarket market

Thank you Polymarket for sponsoring the mid-week macro. Given the recent truce, we check in again with the odds of Strait of Hormuz traffic going back to ‘normal’ by the end of April.

I am not buying it and do not see it happening whatsoever. This market is priced way too high. The ceasefire and the current situation is not to be trusted!

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Jeremy will likely be on the show in due course.

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